In the latest poll released by Public Policy Polling, Ron Paul is now leading in Iowa with 23% of the vote. In second place is Romney with 20%. Gingrich has dropped to 14%. While the complete results are not all come up roses for Paul. They demonstrate two things that I’ve already been repeating over and over again:
- Ron Paul is unlikely to win the GOP nomination but…
- If he did win the GOP nomination, he’d beat Obama.
The poll results again show that most of Paul’s support is coming from younger people, independents, and Democrats. From the release:
Paul’s base of support continues to rely on some unusual groups for a Republican contest. Among voters under 45 he’s at 33% to 16% for Romney and 11% for Gingrich. He’s really going to need that younger than normal electorate because with seniors Romney’s blowing him out 31-15 with Gingrich coming in 2nd at 18%. Paul is also cleaning up 35-14 with the 24% of voters who identify as either Democrats or independents. Romney is actually ahead 22-19 with GOP voters. Young people and non-Republicans are an unusual coalition to hang your hat on in Iowa, and it will be interesting to see if Paul can actually pull it off.