Ron Paul, The Nostradamus Who Predicted the Current Financial Crisis

September 19th, 2008 6:31 am  |  by George Dewey  |  Published in Banking, Big Government, Constitution, Debt, Economics, Free Market, Investing, Liberty, Money, Philosophy, Politics, Ron Paul  |  9 Responses

So, it is the work week of September 15th through the 19th, 2008. Some of the largest financial institutions of the United States are failing, crumbling, selling for pennies on the dollar… or even being “bought and sold” by our very own, out of control government, assisted by the infinite counterfeiting and money-laundering by the Federal Reserve. Although I haven’t yet heard the term Black Monday applied, many economists have compared this past Monday, the 15th, to 1929. Sure, the market had a good day today. But did anyone really think that it wouldn’t? I mean, even back in 1987, there was a huge rebound. But it doesn’t change the fact that many lost their life savings, and many families never recovered.

And, as always, when there is any kind of disaster, the finger-pointing begins. And has it ever begun in this case! Cyberspace, the radio waves, and the talking boxes all scream for a scapegoat. Whose fault is it? Is it Bush’s fault? What could he have done differently? Did he have the foresight or the ability to do everything differently? What can he do now? Was it Congress’s fault? Will John McCain and Sarah Palin “fix” those evil CEO’s who ruined these companies? Will Obama’s change result in anything BUT loose change in the pockets of the Middle Class? Can Obama be our savior?

Actually, all of the questions above are irrelevant. And, also, yes. At the same time. The most astonishing fact is that many economists have seen this coming for a long time, and have warned the government, the media, and the public, screaming warnings, only to be ignored or dismissed.

In fact, back “on Sept. 10, 2003, U.S. Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, testified before the House Financial Services Committee:

As Paul saw the situation some five years ago, the government backing isolated GSE management from market discipline. If Fannie and Freddie were not underwritten by the federal government, he told the committee, investors would demand the institutions held to higher management and accounting practices.

“Ironically, by transferring the risk of a widespread mortgage default, the government increases the likelihood of a painful crash in the housing market,” Paul predicted. “This is because the special privileges granted to Fannie and Freddie have distorted the housing market by allowing them to attract capital they could not attract under pure market conditions. As a result, capital is diverted from its most productive use into housing. This reduces the efficacy of the entire market and thus reduces the standard of living of all Americans.

“Despite the long-term damage to the economy inflicted by the government’s interference in the housing market, the government’s policy of diverting capital to other uses creates a short-term boom in housing,” Paul went on. “Like all artificially created bubbles, the boom in housing prices cannot last forever. When housing prices fall, homeowners will experience difficulty as their equity is wiped out. Furthermore, the holders of the mortgage debt will also have a loss. These losses will be greater than they would have otherwise been had government policy not actively encouraged over-investment in housing.

Wow.  It almost sounds as if all of the answers are right in front us, and that they are all very simple.  All of our candidates and Congress are pretending to scramble for answers and solutions.  Yet, all one has to do is look back at the four-part plan which Ron Paul previously proposed; one which I believe most Middle Class Americans would fervently cry out for, if they were only simply told about it.  The even better news is that it’s not rocket science.  It’s a simple matter of instituting lower taxes, less spending, a sound monetary policy and regulatory reform.

So, let’s all just forget about the “smoke and mirrors” change which Obama and McCain claim they will usher in once elected.  The reality is, Ron Paul has been giving us (AND A DEAF CONGRESS!) the answers all along.

As Ron Paul said back on March 4th of this year, “Unless we embrace fundamental reforms, we will be caught in a financial storm that will humble this great country as no foreign enemy ever could,” he wrote. “We can find safe harbor in our ideals. Reclaiming our historic legacy of principled commitment to liberty will, once again, unleash the innovative spirit that propelled our nation to the heights of prosperity.”

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Responses

  1. willmize says:

    September 19th, 2008 at 7:13 am (#)

    I would beg to differ on one point; Nostradamus tended to communicate his predictions via mysterious and indirect verse; Congressman Paul does not mince his words, nor do they need any sort of translation into our modern day vernacular.
    He speaks truth to power in the most direct way possible, in the most direct language available that the majority would understand, given a larger platform by the MSM.

  2. George Dewey says:

    September 19th, 2008 at 8:03 am (#)

    Willmize,

    You are correct, and I appreciate your point. Very true.

    However, just to clarify in case there are any future concerns, this was just meant to be a general, fun analogy, not a historical comparison. This is why I only had the “Nostradamus” reference in the header.

  3. willmize says:

    September 19th, 2008 at 9:34 am (#)

    Hey George!
    Totally understood it, and totally got it.
    Maybe Dr. Paul is more like Paul Revere, screaming from his horse :)

  4. libertyforone says:

    September 19th, 2008 at 3:49 pm (#)

    It was not exactly difficult to see this coming. All Austrian Economists predicted this. It can only get worse. This weekend’s solution will only destroy our economy. Be prepared.

    I am so glad I came across this today: http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig8/hamilton5.html

    A solution for Ron Paul supporters.

    Pass it on.

  5. George Dewey says:

    September 19th, 2008 at 9:41 pm (#)

    Willmize,

    I guess great minds think alike! The other day, when Bill O’Reilly claimed that there was no “Paul Revere” calling out “the alarm” about the impending financial crisis, I thought to myself, “Are you kidding? We had RON PAUL REVERE!” :)

    LibertyForOne,

    I came across that Lew Rockwell posting, as well. You are correct. It’s good stuff!

    - George

  6. Ron Paul Was Right | The Informed Nonsense of Johnny Zito says:

    September 20th, 2008 at 2:58 pm (#)

    [...] Ron Paul FTW [...]

  7. Bailout Dead For Now | some dork says:

    September 29th, 2008 at 10:29 pm (#)

    [...] the way, this guy predicted this mess five years ago.  He got so speak on the floor today.  Is anyone listening to him?  Bueller? [...]

  8. jensks says:

    December 21st, 2008 at 12:37 pm (#)

    Ron Paul was not the only one predicting this crisis.

    Shiller, Roubini and Brochner Madsen did too.

    Actually I did the same in my Master Thesis from March 2006.
    Read more: http://www.jensks.com

    I predicted that the bust in house prices would be initiated bt higher interest rates. That a credit contraction would lead to a credit crisis and financial crisis. The size of the bubble would lead to a global recession, since the housing and credit bubble for the first time in history was global.

    Merry Christmas
    Jens

  9. Have Economists Failed? « A King’s Mind says:

    February 10th, 2009 at 1:23 am (#)

    [...] crisis and the accompanying recession. There are certainly plenty of exceptions: Robert Shiller, Ron Paul, Claudio Borio, Nouriel Roubini, James Hamilton, Raghuram Rajan, and perhaps most memorably, Peter [...]

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