Florida Primary today, some predictions

January 29th, 2008 9:06 am | by Marc Gallagher | Published in Election, Maven Commentary, Politics, Polling | Comment

My track record at predicting these has been pretty dismal so far, but that doesn’t stop me from trying. Unfortunately, for Ron Paul he will likely finish in last place now. Here is how I see it playing out.

Romney
McCain
Giuliani
Huckabee
Paul

I hope Ron Paul gets around 8%, but that will be tough. I hate being a negative Ned about Ron Paul’s chances, but that is the reality as I see it. A Romney win would be good for Paul going forward because it should help bring McCain down a bit in the eyes of the media. Yes, the media and the GOP, who seem to be pushing McCain for some reason.

The bottom line is, even though, I think McCain will win the nomination with Huckabee as the VP, McCain is too much of a moderate for most GOP voters. Working in his favor though is the fact that tried and true neo-conservative GOP voters are smaller in number this go around. Thank you Mr. Bush.